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Precipitation and temperature climate change indices calculated from WRF data and statistically downscaled CMIP5 models, Cordillera Blanca and Vilcanota-Urubamba regions, Peru, from 1980 to 2100
GB/NERC/BAS/PDC/01730

Summary

Abstract:
Based on the bias-corrected WRF data and the statistically downscaled CMIP5 data (see related datasets), six climate change detection indices are calculated, based on the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices (ETCCDI). Each index is calculated for the control period (1980-2018) from the bias-corrected WRF data, and the future (2019-2100) for each of the 30 CMIP5 models. Six of the ETCCDI climate indices are calculated here (taken from Zhang (2011)): the simple precipitation intensity index describing the total annual precipitation on wet days; the annual total precipitation falling on days where precipitation is above the 95th percentile of the 1980-2018 period; the number of dry days (precipitation under 1 mm) in a year (a variation on "continuous dry days" given in Zhang (2011); the annual average monthly maximum temperature; the warm spell duration index describing the annual count of days with at least 6 consecutive days above the 90th percentile of daily maximum temperature from 1980-2018; the number of frost days (minimum daily temperature below 0 deg C). These data were corrected as part of the PEGASUS (Producing EnerGy and preventing hAzards from SUrface water Storage in Peru) and Peru GROWS (Peruvian Glacier Retreat and its Impact on Water Security) projects. The datasets were created to assess future climate in the Peruvian Andes. The data were created on the JASMIN supercomputer.


The creation of this data was conducted under the Peru GROWS and PEGASUS projects, which were both funded by NERC (grants NE/S013296/1 and NE/S013318/1, respectively) and CONCYTEC through the Newton-Paulet Fund. The Peruvian part of the Peru GROWS project was conducted within the framework of the call E031-2018-01-NERC "Glacier Research Circles", through its executing unit FONDECYT (Contract No. 08-2019-FONDECYT).

Keywords:
Andes, ETCCDI, Peru, downscaling, future projections

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Citation

Potter, E., Fyffe, C., Orr, A., Quincey, D., Ross, A., Rangecroft, S., Medina, K., Burns, H., Llacza, A., Jacome, G., Hellstrom, R., Castro, J., Cochachin, A., Montoya, N., Loarte, E., & Pellicciotti, F. (2023). Precipitation and temperature climate change indices calculated from WRF data and statistically downscaled CMIP5 models, Cordillera Blanca and Vilcanota-Urubamba regions, Peru, from 1980 to 2100 (Version 1.0) [Data set]. NERC EDS UK Polar Data Centre. https://doi.org/10.5285/b56d30e8-edaa-4225-96d7-fcc689e930c7

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